No-Sno.

Was reading Woody!’s discussions today and I saw an interesting dissertation on DC snowfall:

SNOW IN LONDON GOT ME TO THINKING ABT WHEN DID WE LAST HV
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL (LAST WK NOT COUNTING). AT DCA AND BWI IT WAS
12/5/07...DCA HAD 2.6" AND BWI 4.7". AT IAD IT WAS 1/17/08 - 4.0".
AND LAST REALLY BIG ONE WAS 2/16/03. QUITE A LONG DROUGHT FOR
SNOW LOVERS.

WE NEED SEVERAL INGREDIENTS FOR BIG SNOWS...ONE OF WHICH IS LOW
PRES TO THE SOUTH. WE HV THAT W/ THE LOW MOVG ACROSS CENTRAL
FL...BUT ALTHO THERE HV BEEN MINOR WOBBLES IN THE PROJECTED TRACK
THIS CONTINUES TO LOOK LK IT WL TRACK TOO FAR E TO BE A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW MAKER IN MID ATLC. ON TOP OF THAT THE LOW WL BE
TRACKING N MUCH TOO RAPIDLY EVEN IF IT WERE TO TRACK CLOSER TO
THE CST TO GIVE US A SIG SNOWFALL.

So once again it looks like we’re escaping any significant snow.  But there’s still hope.  Historically February-March are the best months for snow in this area.

starting to warm up…

29 January 2009

According to the normals for this area, as of today-ish, the worst of the cold is over.  From here on out, we’re warming up!  yippee!

All in all, not a bad winter.  Lowest so far was about 6F, and interior of the boat stayed comfortably in the 60s.  Around those temperatures my fershwater pump and sink drain froze; I got a heat lamp to help alleviate that situation in the future.

I guess we’ll see the winter ducks start leaving soon.

cheers!

Y

Paloma

Lest we yankees or near-yankees forget that hurricane season continues to November 30, Hurricane Paloma is expected to gain strength and become a Category 3 storm by 7am tomorrow before making landfall in Cuba.

More information at NOAA of course, and the weather underground.  As of 1430 EST Nov 8, Paloma had gained strength to a category 4 storm and is about to hit Cuba.

24 Oct 2008: coastal flood advisory, Chesapeake Bay western shore

NWS has issued a coastal flood advisory with tides 1-2 feet above astronomical predictions in association with the low pressure/cold front moving through the area tonight and tomorrow:

 

A persistent southeast flow will cause tidal departures of one to
two feet above normal for tonight into Saturday evening across
the tidal Potomac as well as the western shore of the Chesapeake
Bay. Minor coastal flooding may be expected near times of high
tide tonight through Saturday evening. The highest tides are
expected during the day Saturday when the southeast flow is
expected to be at its strongest.

More info as it becomes available; also here.  Don’t expect any issues so far in the Edgewater area.  High tides at Rhode River are at 0224 tonight and 1453 tomorrow afternoon.  Astronomical predictions for both these tides are 1.3 ft. SE winds are expected overnight should not cause much buildup for the 0224 tide, but will be an issue for the 1453 tide and possibly the 0308 Oct 26 tide (also predicted at 1.3 ft).   The next high tide, Sunday at 1547, is predicted a bit higher at 1.5 feet but winds are predicted to shift to the NW Saturday night, so this should not be an issue.

If things are good, I’ll take some pictures!

25 October, 1400EDT (update)

SCA has been upgraded to gale warning until 2000 tonight. No change in flood warning.  Looks like front may be moving by a bit slower, which means better winds tomorrow for sailing in the sun.  This evening winds are forecast S 15-20 moving SW overnight.  TPLM2 conditions at 1300 seem a bit stronger with sustained winds at 29kts, and  27kts at 1400.

TS Hanna

This post is updated in chronological order; scroll down (and hit “More”) for latest entries.  Some photos.

5 September, 1220EDT

As of 1140 EDT Friday, Hanna is expected to roll through the Chesapeake Saturday morning/afternoon.  Rainfall totals expected to be between 3 and 6 inches.  Winds should start SE tonight and switch to NE Saturday, forecast at 30-40kts.  Bigger concern, as with Isabelle, is storm surge.  From NOAA:

Coastal storm surge of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide level can be expected along the western shore of the Chesapeake Bay and the tidal Potomac River. The highest water levels are expected during the high tidal cycle occurring late Saturday morning and afternoon.

Areas that will be prone to coastal flooding on Saturday will be Edgewater in Anne Arundel County… 

Edgewater is Bahia’s home port.  One to three feet should not present a significant problem, and NE winds usually serve to push water out of this part of the bay.  High tides at the Rhode River at at 0926EDT at 0.82ft and 2242EDT at 1.65 ft (astronomical predictions, [Mr. Tides]).  I’m hoping the NE winds will server to reduce surge. I have not decided yet whether I’ll go tend to Bahia tonight/tomorrow or go to Floatilla.

I’ll be updating this post as updated weather statements come out and/or I make more decisions.  Currently leaning towards a hurricane party with the Hookers.

Updates…

5 September, 1436 EDT

The 1400 updates don’t show much change for our area.